The recovery in Bitcoin and altcoins is facing selling at higher levels, indicating that the overall sentiment remains negative.
Bitcoin (BTC) has been stuck inside a large range since April, indicating indecision about the next directional move. Efforts by the bears to sink the price below the support of the range were thwarted by the bulls on Sep. 11. However, Bitcoin is not out of the woods yet.
Jamie Coutts, a chartered market technician and crypto market analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, while speaking to Cointelegraph said that if the tightening cycle extends, followed by “an uptick in unemployment and more stress in the banking sector, then there could be a bit more pain for risk assets like Bitcoin.”
Cryptocurrency traders have also remained cautious. A Bitfinex report shows that the cryptocurrency industry witnessed capital outflows of $55 billion in August. The drop in liquidity has caused isolated events to “have a bigger impact on market movements,” the report added.
Will Bitcoin turn down and retest its pivotal support? Could Bitcoin’s weakness trigger further selling in altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin broke and closed above the 20-day exponential moving average ($26,228) on Sep. 14, indicating that the downside momentum is weakening.
The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, signaling that the BTC/USDT pair may stay range-bound between $24,800 and $28,143 for some more time.
If bears want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. Such a move will suggest that higher levels are being sold into. That could result in a retest of the strong support at $24,800.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) plunged below the $1,550 support on Sep. 11 but the bears could not build upon this strength. This suggests solid buying at lower levels.
The bulls thereafter started a recovery, which has reached the 20-day EMA ($1,638). This level is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. A break and close above the 20-day EMA could trap several aggressive bears, resulting in a short squeeze. That could propel the price to $1,745.
Instead, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears remain in command. The sellers will then make another attempt to sink the ETH/USDT pair below $1,550 and resume the downtrend.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) bounced off the psychological support near $200 on Sep. 12, indicating that the bulls are active at lower levels.
The recovery has reached the 20-day EMA ($215), which is an important level to watch out for. If the BNB/USDT pair turns lower from the current level, it will indicate that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on relief rallies. That will increase the risk of a breakdown below $200.
Contrarily, the RSI is forming a positive divergence, indicating that the selling pressure could be reducing. A rise above the 20-day EMA could open the doors for a retest of the 50-day SMA ($225).
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) has been trading between $0.41 and $0.56 for the past several days. The price has recovered to the 20-day EMA ($0.50), which is an important level to keep an eye on.
If buyers thrust the price above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the selling pressure is reducing. That could start a sustained recovery toward the overhead resistance at $0.56. This level may again act as a roadblock.
If the price turns down from $0.56, it will indicate that the range-bound action may continue for some more time. The next trending move is likely to begin after bulls push the price above $0.56 or bears sink the XRP/USDT pair below $0.41.
Cardano price analysis
The strong selling in Cardano (ADA) pulled the price to $0.24 on Sep. 11 but the bears could not break the crucial support.
The rebound off $0.24 on Sep. 12 reached the 20-day EMA ($0.26) on Sep. 15. This level is likely to witness a tussle between the buyers and sellers. If the ADA/USDT pair turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that every minor rise is being sold into. That could increase the risk of a drop to $0.22.
Contrarily, if buyers shove the price above the 20-day EMA, it will signal the start of a stronger recovery to $0.28.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to trade between the 20-day EMA ($0.06) and the solid support at $0.06. This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long and a breakout may happen soon.
If buyers kick the price above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sellers may be losing their grip. That could start a relief rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.07) where the bears are expected to intensify selling.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will enhance the prospects of a break below $0.06. If this support breaks down, the DOGE/USDT pair may plummet to $0.055.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) has been swinging between $14 and $27.12 for the past several months. The price has reached the 20-day EMA ($19.51) where the bears are likely to pose a stiff challenge.
If buyers thrust the price above the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could reach the overhead resistance at $22.30. This level may again act as a strong hurdle but if bulls overcome it, the pair could climb to $27.12.
On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will signal that demand dries up at higher levels. The bears will then try to resume the downtrend and yank the price to the vital support at $14.
Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin (TON) snapped back from the 20-day EMA ($1.75) on Sep. 12, indicating that the bulls are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.
The price reached the first resistance at $1.98 on Sep. 13 where the bears are trying to halt the up-move. A minor advantage in favor of the bulls is that they have not ceded ground to the bears. This suggests that the bulls are in no hurry to book profits as they anticipate the up-move to continue.
If the $1.98 level is taken out, the TON/USDT pair could reach $2.07. This is an important level for the bears to defend because a break above it could propel the pair to $2.40. On the downside, a slide below the 20-day EMA could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) has been trading below the breakdown level of $4.22 for the past few days, which is a negative sign.
The bulls are trying to start a relief rally but that is likely to face strong selling at $4.22. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it will suggest that bears remain in control. The sellers will then try to sink the DOT/USDT pair below $3.90. If they succeed, the pair could collapse to $3.44.
If bulls want to prevent the decline, they will have to push and sustain the price above $4.22. If they do that, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the breakdown. The pair may then attempt a rally to the 50-day SMA ($4.61).
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) slipped below the critical support at $0.51 on Sep. 11 but the bears could not maintain the selling pressure. That started a rebound, which is nearing the 20-day EMA ($0.54).
The bears will attempt to stall the recovery at the 20-day EMA and tug the price below $0.50. If they manage to do that, it will signal the resumption of the downtrend. The MATIC/USDT pair could then slump to $0.45.
Although the downsloping moving averages indicate advantage to bears, the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the bearish momentum may be slowing down. If buyers clear the obstacle at the 20-day EMA, the pair may climb to $0.60.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.