Not tackling even lower levels "seems wrong," one analyst says, while another popular trader demands a $40,000 reclaim for Bitcoin price to flip "full bull."
Bitcoin (BTC) cracked $37,000 at the Jan. 28 Wall Street open as traders watched and waited for a resistance retest.
BTC evades a major resistance test
As part of the range-bound behavior, hopes were held high that momentum would continue to challenge resistance levels closer to $40,000, whether or not the ultimate outcome would be a fresh correction.
"The bearish scenario seems most likely, which is exactly the reason why I think we'll see a surprising move," popular trader Crypto Ed said as part of comments on the immediate outlook.
"Only after a convincing reclaim of $40K I'll be full bull."
Fellow trader and analyst Anbessa reiterated previous demands for $38,500 to hold to proclaim the corrective phase as complete for Bitcoin.
#BTC has re-entered the $28000-$38000 consolidation range— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) January 25, 2022
BTC last consolidated in this range in Q1 and Q2 of 2021
Naturally, on this latest recovery, the Range High (red) will be the main resistance to beat to confirm further upside$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/aojF2Zcm0y
On Jan.24, Rekt Capital highlighted the area for Bitcoin to reclaim to rekindle bullishness on longer weekly timeframes. As reported, this would come in the form of $39,600 as a weekly close price.
"Similar vibes" to early 2018
Crypto Ed, however, was not alone in his feeling of foreboding over a possible fresh breakdown.
Despite taking liquidity during its brief dip below $33,000 earlier in the week, Bitcoin has not convinced everyone that the floor is truly in.
Discussing the issue, Twitter analyst TXMC Trades, concluded that BTC/USD "still needs to go lower" from the current spot price. History, it seems, supports the theory.
"It seems wrong that BTC would bleed straight down from the ATH without a relief rally, only to have the reversal be front-run without properly testing the range low," he argued.
"Similar vibes to April 2018 where the $6K bounce was front-run, but ultimately collapsed. Just a gut feel."
TXMC nonetheless noted that the bounce from $33,000 had liquidated more short positions than at any point since Bitcoin's $69,000 all-time highs last November, citing data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode.